Checked fact 260025 Oct 2026Safety and security

Asked why 20 years, Gates said 'I picked that as a reasonably safe number' (42:19).

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The exact words it rests on

You know, I picked that as a reasonably safe number.

What the source said when we opened it, on 24 Oct 2026.

The source

Bill Gates says to prepare for 20 years of tumultuous AI disruption
Decoder with Nilay Patel (YouTube) · 2026-10-22

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Checked

Checked by the notis newsroom on 24 Oct 2026, against the source above.

In the story

Gates expects significant AI job and cyber harms within two to three years 25 Oct 2026

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“Asked why 20 years, Gates said 'I picked that as a reasonably safe number' (42:19).” ai notis, checked 24 Oct 2026. Source: Bill Gates says to prepare for 20 years of tumultuous AI disruption (Decoder with Nilay Patel (YouTube)). https://ainotis.com/c/2600

As a reference (APA style)

ai notis. (2026, October 24). Asked why 20 years, Gates said 'I picked that as a reasonably safe number' (42:19) [Checked claim 2600]. ai notis. https://ainotis.com/c/2600

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