RSP v3.4 says scenario (2) has occurred where (a) Anthropic observes or expects double the rate of progress in aggregate capabilities compared to both the rate it would expect and the fastest rate of extended progress it has observed in the absence of significant AI contributions to AI R&D, and (b) it is plausible that this doubling is substantially attributable to the automation of research and/or engineering.

The exact words it rests on

We would consider scenario (2) to have occurred where (a) we observe or expect double the rate of progress in AI aggregate capabilities compared to both the rate we'd expect and the fastest rate of extended progress we've observed in the absence of significant AI contributions to AI R&D and (b) it is plausible that this doubling is substantially attributable to the automation of research and/or engineering

What the source said when we opened it, on 5 Nov 2026.

The source

Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy, version 3.4
Anthropic · 2026-07-08

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Checked

Checked by the notis newsroom on 5 Nov 2026, against the source above.

In the story

How Anthropic's RSP decides a capability threshold is met, and what follows 5 Nov 2026