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Menlo Ventures estimates 2026 enterprise AI coding spend at $34.0 billion

The figure comes from Menlo's own bottom-up model, and Claude Code and Codex together account for $24.0 billion, or 70%, of it.

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Menlo Ventures estimates that enterprises spent $34.0 billion on AI coding tools in 2026, 7.7 times the year before, and that Anthropic's Claude Code and OpenAI's Codex together account for $24.0 billion, or 70%, of it. The figures are in Menlo's "2026: The State of Enterprise AI" report, dated 3 November.

Menlo says AI-native providers hold 96% of the coding market, including the labs' own products. Across all models, it says Anthropic's share of enterprise API spend rose from 40% to 55%, OpenAI's from 27% to 31%, and Google's fell from 21% to 9%.

The report draws on a survey of nearly 400 US enterprise decision-makers fielded by Morning Consult from 8 to 26 September. Menlo says the dollar totals are its own estimates from a bottom-up model, shown as annualised run rate.

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1 2026: The State of Enterprise AIMenlo Ventures · 3 Nov 2026 · 6 facts Open the source archived copy
  1. Menlo Ventures' report "2026: The State of Enterprise AI", dated 3 November 2026, puts coding spend at $34.0 billion, up 7.7x

    November 3, 2026 ... coding ($34.0B, up 7.7x) and enterprise AI chatbots ($25.0B, up 3.0x)
    cite
  2. Menlo says Anthropic's Claude Code and OpenAI's Codex combine for $24.0 billion, 70% of the $34.0 billion coding market

    Anthropic's Claude Code and OpenAI's Codex combine for $24.0B, 70% of the $34.0B coding market, up from about $1B last year.
    cite
  3. Menlo says AI-native providers account for 96% of the $34 billion coding market, including the labs' own products

    AI-native providers account for 96% of the $34B market, including the labs' own products (Claude Code, Codex)
    cite
  4. Menlo says Anthropic's share of enterprise API spend increased from 40% to 55%, OpenAI's from 27% to 31%, while Google's fell from 21% to 9%

    Anthropic's share of enterprise API spend increased from 40% to 55%, OpenAI's from 27% to 31%, while Google's fell from 21% to 9%.
    cite
  5. Menlo says the report draws on a survey of nearly 400 US enterprise decision-makers responsible for more than $4 billion in AI spending, fielded by Morning Consult from 8 to 26 September 2026

    nearly 400 U.S. enterprise decision-makers responsible for more than $4 billion in AI spending, fielded by Morning Consult from September 8-26, 2026.
    cite
  6. Menlo says its dollar figures for total market size are Menlo Ventures estimates built from a bottom-up model, and that revenue is shown as annualized run rate

    Dollar figures for total market size are Menlo Ventures estimates built from a bottoms-up model ... Revenue is shown as annualized run rate.
    cite

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